Monday 23 September 2024

F&O Trading Losses in FY24: SEBI Data Reveals Majority of Traders, Whether 'New' or 'Regular', Incurred Losses

Key Highlights from SEBI Data:

  • New Traders in FY24: 42 lakh new Futures and Options (F&O) traders entered the market during FY24. These new traders, defined by SEBI as those who placed their first trades within the last three years, accounted for nearly half of all traders in the fiscal year.

  • Significant Losses for New Traders: According to SEBI's data, a staggering 92.1% of these new traders suffered losses, averaging a net loss of approximately ₹46,000 per trader in FY24.

  • Losses Not Limited to New Traders: While new traders incurred losses, experienced or "Regular Traders" were not exempt. SEBI defines regular traders as those who have been active in F&O trading for three consecutive years (FY22 to FY24). In FY24, about 88% of regular traders faced losses, averaging a substantial ₹1.50 lakh per person.

  • Deepening Losses Amid Market Highs: Despite the broader markets reaching new highs during the fiscal year, the data showed that loss-making traders experienced deeper losses compared to the profits of those who did make money. On average, loss-making traders suffered a loss of ₹1.20 lakh per person, while profit-making traders earned ₹1.03 lakh per person.

  • Cost of Transactions: Another significant factor adding to traders' woes was the cost of transactions. SEBI's study showed that traders who incurred losses faced a higher transaction cost relative to their losses. Losing traders bore about 27% of their transaction costs on top of their net losses, while profitable traders incurred approximately 22% of transaction costs as a percentage of their gross profits.


Analysis of SEBI's Findings:

The data highlights a key trend in F&O trading: whether a trader is new or experienced, the derivative market has been unforgiving, with most participants ending up in the red. While many new traders are drawn to the market with hopes of quick profits, the reality revealed by SEBI is that only a small fraction manage to consistently earn a profit, and even those who do often face high transaction costs.

The losses of new traders, who accounted for a significant portion of the market, could be attributed to factors such as lack of experience, high transaction costs, and the complexities of F&O trading, which is often dominated by more seasoned investors or institutional players. The heavier losses for regular traders suggest that even those with experience are not immune to the challenges of F&O markets, where volatility and leverage can lead to significant financial setbacks.

Implications for Retail Investors:

For retail investors considering entering the F&O market, SEBI's data serves as a cautionary tale. The high percentage of loss-making traders underlines the risks inherent in F&O trading, which may not be suitable for all investors. Additionally, the report suggests that traders should be mindful of transaction costs, which can further erode their returns, especially for those already facing losses.

Conclusion:

SEBI's data on F&O trading in FY24 offers a sobering reminder of the challenges faced by traders, particularly new entrants. The high percentage of loss-making traders and the significant financial losses incurred indicate that caution, experience, and careful risk management are critical for anyone participating in these markets.

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Sunday 22 September 2024

Adani Energy Solutions Set for Massive Growth: Global Brokerage Predicts 125% Upside

Adani Energy Solutions Limited (AESL) shares surged 3.66% to an intraday high of ₹1,014.90 on September 20, 2024, following a report by global brokerage Cantor Fitzgerald. The firm has projected a massive 125% upside for the stock, with a target price of ₹2,251 per share. The power stock, part of the Adani Group, has already delivered impressive multibagger returns of 353.36% over the past five years, enriching investors with substantial gains.

Bullish on India's Expanding Energy Market
Cantor's research report highlights the growth potential of Adani Energy Solutions, expecting its revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% between FY2024 and FY2027. The report lauds AESL's position in India's rapidly expanding energy market, positioning the company as the largest private-sector power transmission and distribution player in the country.

Diversified Portfolio and Future Projects
AESL boasts a diversified portfolio, including transmission and distribution assets, as well as a growing smart metering business. The company is set to complete nine new transmission projects over the next 18-24 months, ensuring steady growth in its core business areas. With an enterprise value of $18.5 billion, Cantor regards AESL as one of the most attractive investment opportunities in the energy sector across the US, Europe, and Asia.

Riding India's Renewable Energy Wave
As India's most populous nation, the demand for electricity is set to soar, driven by the government's significant investment in renewable energy. AESL's infrastructure capabilities for transmitting and distributing electricity, especially from renewable sources, position the company perfectly to capitalize on this increasing demand. The focus on renewable energy is a key factor in Cantor's optimistic outlook for AESL's long-term growth.

Conclusion: A Powerhouse for Investors
With an 'Overweight' rating from Cantor Fitzgerald and significant growth prospects, Adani Energy Solutions is rapidly becoming one of the most attractive investment opportunities in the energy sector. Investors looking for long-term returns may find AESL's growth story irresistible as India's energy needs continue to expand.


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